Intelligence›Global Indicators›FAO Cereals Price Index

OFFICIAL FAO INDICATOR

FEED · MONTHLY

FAO Cereals Price Index

index (2014-2016=100) · Base: 2014-2016 = 100 · Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations ↗

ANIMSTOK MARKET SUMMARY

Rule-based analysis · Based on 199 published observations

Medium Confidence

The FAO Cereals Price Index rose sharply in July 2026, rising 3.5% month-on-month. The index is above last year's level, having risen 6.9% over the past year. At 113.8, it stands 14% above its 2014–2016 base period.

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (official)·Latest: July 2026·Calculation: deterministic rule-based prose, not AI-generated

CURRENT VALUE

113.8

index (2014-2016=100) · July 2026

MONTH-ON-MONTH

+3.5%

vs previous month

YEAR-ON-YEAR

+6.9%

vs same month last year

HISTORICAL CHART

199 observations · Jan 2010 – Jul 2026

Dashed line = 2014–2016 base period (100). Data source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (official).

OBSERVED MARKET PATTERN

Statistical patterns from published observations only — no event or trade evidence

Tracking 13.8% above the 2014–2016 base period of 100
12-month direction: upward trend (+6.9% year-on-year)
3-month momentum: strengthening (index higher than 3 months ago)
Price volatility: moderate (12-month coefficient of variation: 3.0%)
Sustained upward run: 7 consecutive months of monthly gains (within the last 12 months)

WHY THIS MATTERS

All Food Stakeholders

The composite index tracks the weighted average of all five sub-indices (Meat, Dairy, Vegetable Oil, Cereals, Sugar) — a rise affects broad input cost exposure.

Importers

Broad-based food inflation signals rising landed costs across multiple commodity categories simultaneously.

Policy & Procurement

The most widely used single indicator of global food market stress — referenced by governments, WFP, and international lenders.

Exporters

When the composite rises, India's agri-exporters gain global pricing power across multiple commodity categories.

POTENTIALLY RELEVANT COMPANIES

Companies in AnimStok's intelligence coverage in the Feed sector. Exposure is not confirmed — conduct your own due diligence.

Archer-Daniels-Midland

This list is derived from AnimStok's intelligence coverage and does not imply that these companies are directly affected by this indicator. No investment or commercial advice is implied.

WHAT TO WATCH

Monitoring variables — not procurement recommendations

1Each of the five sub-indices individually (Meat, Dairy, Vegetable Oil, Cereals, Sugar)

2US Dollar Index (DXY) — FAO indices are USD-denominated; a stronger dollar raises effective import costs for emerging markets

3FAO monthly Crop Prospects and Food Situation report

4USDA WASDE for broad global supply and demand balance

5World Bank Commodity Markets Outlook (quarterly) — provides medium-term commodity price projections

Related Intelligence

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FAO Dairy Price Index

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Official FAO monthly price index · Dairy

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Market Events

20 events

Disease alerts, policy changes, and trade disruptions affecting global livestock markets

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Company Intelligence

12 companies

Revenue, capacity, and segment data for global meat, poultry, dairy, and seafood producers

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Intelligence Sources

All 44 global sources tracked by AnimStok — FAO, USDA, AHDB, MLA, GDT, and more

View →

EVIDENCE & METHODOLOGY

PublisherFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

FrequencyMonthly (released ~6th of each month)

Base period2014-2016 = 100

Observations199 published observations · Jan 2010 – Jul 2026

Summary methodDeterministic rule-based prose computed from real observations — no language model involved

Confidence logicFreshness (days since latest) + historical depth + corroborating datasets (0 linked) + FAO source quality

Official sourcehttps://www.fao.org ↗

MethodologyFAO methodology notes ↗

ATTRIBUTION

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. 2026. FAO Cereals Price Index. Accessed August 15, 2026. https://www.fao.org. Licence: https://www.fao.org/contact-us/terms/en/. AnimStok does not claim Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations endorsement. The AnimStok Market Summary is rule-based analysis, not Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations content.